Learn
Learn the numbers
Eight short reads, about four minutes each. Enough to know what you are calling and why the room goes quiet at 8:30.
- The jobs reportPayrolls, the unemployment rate, and why the first Friday of the month is the loudest morning in markets.4 min read
- Inflation: CPI and PCEThe two price gauges, why 0.1 percent matters, and why the Fed watches core PCE.4 min read
- The Fed decisionWhat the FOMC decides, what hold, cut and hike mean in basis points, and how markets price it before the meeting.4 min read
- GDPThe broadest scorecard of the economy, why it is quoted as an annualized rate, and why the advance estimate is the one that matters.3 min read
- Retail sales and the consumerWhy a noisy monthly number about shopping matters, and which part of it economists actually watch.3 min read
- Weekly jobless claimsThe Thursday number: the fastest labor market signal there is, and how to keep its noise from fooling you.3 min read
- Producer prices (PPI)What businesses get paid, why it runs a step ahead of what shoppers pay, and why forecasters use it to guess the Fed's favorite inflation number.3 min read
- Job openings (JOLTS)How many jobs are waiting to be filled, how often people quit, and why the Fed watched this survey so closely after 2021.3 min read
- Housing startsNew homes breaking ground: the part of the economy that feels mortgage rates first, and one of the noisiest numbers in the game.3 min read
- Consumer sentimentThe University of Michigan's read on how people feel about money and the economy, and the inflation expectations inside it.3 min read
- The dot plotWhere each Fed official sees rates going, four times a year, and how to read the chart this site is named after.3 min read
- How consensus worksWhere the line comes from, why surprises move markets more than levels, and how Mini Macro sets the house line.4 min read
- How to read a printA 90-second checklist for 8:30, the traps that catch new players, and exactly how the game scores.4 min read