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The numbers that move markets

Every release Mini Macro tracks, with its full history, the schedule, and how players called each one. Everything here is public; sign in when you want to play.
Bureau of Labor StatisticsJobs report
+165kpayrolls · was +60k
-156k+29k+214kNovJanMarMayJulSepOct

How many jobs the economy added last month, and what share of people looking for work could not find any.

Next: November jobs report, in 24 days
Bureau of Labor StatisticsCPI
0.4%headline m/m · was 0.6%
-0.4%0.3%0.9%NovJanMarMayJulSepOct

The consumer price index: how much a basket of everyday goods and services cost this month versus last month.

Next: November CPI, in 30 days
Federal ReserveFed decision
Hike 25last move · before it Cut 25
-50 bpHold+50 bpDecMarJulNovSepDecSep

The Federal Open Market Committee's rate decision: hold, cut or hike, and by how much.

Next: December Fed decision, in 29 days
Bureau of Economic AnalysisGDP
3.4%GDP q/q · was 2.2%
-0.6%1.7%3.9%OctAprOctAprOctAprJul

The advance estimate of how fast the whole economy grew last quarter, annualized.

Next release not scheduled yet
Bureau of Economic AnalysisPCE inflation
0.3%core PCE m/m · was 0.3%
0.0%0.2%0.4%OctDecFebAprJunAugSep

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, excluding food and energy.

Next: October PCE, in 15 days
Census BureauRetail sales
0.8%retail m/m · was 1.3%
-0.6%0.5%1.7%OctDecFebAprJunAugSep

How much shoppers spent at stores, restaurants and online last month versus the month before.

Next: October retail sales, in 7 days
Department of LaborJobless claims
189kclaims · was 195k
189k198k207kAugAugSepSepOctOctOct

How many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time last week.

Next: Jobless claims, week of Nov 7, Thu, Nov 12, 8:30 AM ET
Bureau of Labor StatisticsProducer prices
1.3%PPI m/m · was 0.5%
-0.1%0.6%1.3%OctDecFebAprJunAugSep

The producer price index: what businesses were paid for their goods and services this month versus last, a step ahead of the prices shoppers pay.

Next: October PPI, Fri, Nov 13, 8:30 AM ET
Bureau of Labor StatisticsJob openings
7.52Mopenings · was 7.19M
6.55M7.07M7.59MOctDecFebAprJunAugSep

How many jobs employers were trying to fill on the last day of the month, from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.

Next: October job openings, in 21 days
Census BureauHousing starts
1.221Mstarts · was 1.288M
1.182M1.352M1.522MOctDecFebAprJunAugSep

How many new homes broke ground last month, at a yearly pace. The corner of the economy that feels interest rates first.

Next: October housing starts, in 8 days
University of MichiganConsumer sentiment
48.0sentiment · was 48.1
44.850.756.6NovJanMarMayJulSepOct

How people feel about their money and the economy, from the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers. The game calls the final reading, which comes two weeks after the preliminary one.

Next: November consumer sentiment, in 10 days
Federal ReserveThe Fed's dot plot
4.1%median dot, end of 2027
3.6%3.9%4.1%2026202720282029

Four times a year every Fed official puts a dot where they expect rates to end each year. The middle dot is the Fed's own forecast; the game calls where it lands.

Next: December dot plot, in 29 days