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Explore · Federal Reserve · eight meetings a year · 14:00 ET

Fed decision

The Federal Open Market Committee's rate decision: hold, cut or hike, and by how much.

History

Rate decisionlatest +25 bp (2026-09-17) · 32 moves
-100 bp-12 bp+75 bp2015-12-16: +25 bp2016-12-14: +25 bp2017-03-16: +25 bp2017-06-15: +25 bp2017-12-14: +25 bp2018-03-22: +25 bp2018-06-14: +25 bp2018-09-27: +25 bp2018-12-20: +25 bp2019-08-01: -25 bp2019-09-19: -25 bp2019-10-31: -25 bp2020-03-04: -50 bp2020-03-16: -100 bp2022-03-17: +25 bp2022-05-05: +50 bp2022-06-16: +75 bp2022-07-28: +75 bp2022-09-22: +75 bp2022-11-03: +75 bp2022-12-15: +50 bp2023-02-02: +25 bp2023-03-23: +25 bp2023-05-04: +25 bp2023-07-27: +25 bp2024-09-19: -50 bp2024-11-08: -25 bp2024-12-19: -25 bp2025-09-18: -25 bp2025-10-30: -25 bp2025-12-11: -25 bp2026-09-17: +25 bp20152017201920232025

Source: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, from Federal Reserve data. Values shown are as currently published, so revisions are included here even though the game scores the first print.

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How players called it

The print record

PrintDecisionCalled right
September Fed decision
Sep 16, 2026
Hike 25no calls